Reexamining Regional Stability: The Post-Hamas Vision for Gaza
Set against the ancient backdrop of Jerusalem, a pivotal debate is taking place. For over two decades, Hamas, labeled a terrorist organization due to its extreme jihadist ideology, has maintained a tight grip on the Gaza Strip. This reign has introduced a significant security challenge to neighboring Israel, complicating relationships with moderate Arab states who might consider normalizing ties with the Israeli state.
The Quest for Peace and Security
Emerging from the shadows of conflict, the recent tragic events of October 7th, which left 1,200 casualties and numerous hostages, have pushed Israel to the brink. Consequently, the political and military echelons, bolstered by the support of Israeli citizens and the backing of the U.S. administration under President Biden, have reached a consensus: the status quo is unsustainable, and Hamas must be dislodged.
However, this pivotal decision leads to an equally critical question: in the event of Hamas’ defeat, who would fill the resultant power vacuum?
Biden’s Perspective on a Way Forward
Adding to this discourse, President Biden expressed his insights in an opinion piece, emphasizing the Palestinian people’s right to self-governance and a future unmarred by Hamas’ presence. He underlined the ultimate goal: not just to halt the current conflict but to cease the cycle of violence for posterity, merging Gaza with the West Bank while rejuvenating the Palestinian Authority (PA).
Contentions and Contrasts in Leadership
Despite this vision, the Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has starkly opposed the idea of inserting the PA into Gaza’s post-conflict framework. This stance is shared by Michael Oren, Israel’s former ambassador to the U.S., who cites widespread corruption and weak leadership within the PA, rigorous preference for Hamas within the West Bank populace, and inflammatory educational content as significant barriers to such a transition.
The Role of the Abraham Accords Nations in Gaza’s Future
In contrast, there’s potential for the signatories of the Abraham Accords—particularly the Gulf States like the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain, and potentially Saudi Arabia—to influence Gaza’s future governance and infrastructure. Hussain Abdul-Hussain, a scholar at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, noted the proactive involvement of the UAE in establishing a field hospital and proposed desalination plant constructions in Gaza, laying the groundwork for a post-Hamas administration devoted to peace.
This involvement could serve to sideline entities like Qatar, often criticized for backing groups akin to Hamas, and potentially serve as a model for addressing rising Islamic radicalism within the West Bank.
Reconstruction Beyond the Rubble
As Israel commits to pursuing its military objectives, it becomes apparent that the arduous task of reconstructing Gaza post-conflict falls beyond the scope of any single individual or entity. Facing vast destruction, the area’s rehabilitation could tally upwards of $15 billion.
Yitzhak Gal, a Mitvim Institute research fellow, advocates for a progressive two-stage reconstruction approach. This approach would see political and physical rebuilding occurring in tandem, necessitating international consensus and a stable, non-Hamas governing body in Gaza.
Seeking New Governance
A potential solution? The presence of a multinational force providing governance, security, and overseeing the reconstruction, as posited by Nir Arieli of the University of Leeds. This force, by involving stakeholders globally, could prove to be the interim answer ensuring that reconstruction aid is utilized effectively, fostering a stable environment conducive to long-term peace.
International Cooperation for a Sustainable Gaza
Such a coalition, likely composed of Western actors like the U.S. and Europe, along with Gulf countries aligned with the Abraham Accords, would not only offer immediate relief but also strategize for Gaza’s sustainable future. This future envisions a self-reliant, economically vibrant, and extremism-free society.
In conclusion, the path to a peaceful Gaza remains complex and fraught with contention. Yet through a combined international effort, prioritizing local engagement and leveraging the peace-promoting momentum of the Abraham Accords, there exists a glimmer of hope for forging a secure, liberated, and prosperous Gaza Strip, embodying the aspirations of its people and contributing to regional stability.
